Tashkent, Uzbekistan (UzDaily.com) -- The fate of Belarus could have extremely serious, radicalizing and lasting consequences due to the danger of a global conflict in the post-pandemic world.

If A. Lukashenko will remain in power, it will only be due to extremely harsh reprisals and repressions, with the prospect of Russia’s intervention.

But, if there is a violent removal from power, it will almost certainly be a strategic radicalization of neighboring Russia. The future viability of the Eurasian Economic Union depends on the outcome of the protests in Minsk. The conflict between Moscow and Western countries over Ukraine remains unresolved. At the same time, Russia’s strategic cooperation with China has significantly strengthened against the background of declining trust between China and leading Western countries.

The radicalization of the Russian Federation due to the destabilization of the situation in the Republic of Belarus may provoke an intensification of confrontation between the PRC and the United States. And along with Japan, South Korea, several ASEAN countries and, of course, with India.

This is also facilitated by the fact that during the global pandemic there was a “merger” of the world’s three main “theaters” of geopolitical conflicts:

1) between Russia and the West, which arose in 2014;

2) the Middle East, which emerged in 2003 and merged with the Russian-Western one after Moscow’s intervention in Syria in 2015;

3) the Sino-American, formed with the coming to power in the United States of President Trump.

According to the newspaper, the situation in Belarus is likely to worsen in the near future. As a result, the possible military activation of Russia will become a very real threat of the start of a deliberate or accidental war in the aforementioned geopolitical "theaters".

To resolve the crisis in Belarus, immediate intervention of 2-3 leading Asian, Western or post-Soviet countries is required in order to:

1) establishing a clear procedure for the peaceful transfer of power;

2) creation of stable "intermediate" mechanisms and institutions that allow political, economic and geopolitical blocs represented by the EU and the EAEU to avoid conflicts and coexist peacefully and safely. Connecting these two blocs with the Western and Asian blocs will be one of the important tasks of 21st century diplomacy.